Detailed disassembly: the investment method of Serenity in the U.S. stock "The Most Scattered"

Original title: “Investment Dismantling of the Most Sérenity in America”
original by nini, encryption analyst

You bought Inverda, you went up 30% and sold it, and you thought you were a little smart。

AND THEN IT WENT UP 120%, AND YOU LOOKED AT THE K-LINE FOR FIVE MINUTES, AND YOU TRIED TO GET MORE ANGRY。

It's actually most of it。

In 2022, someone did exactly the opposite with the public. He didn't buy Weeda. He bought a company to supply themMARKET VALUE $700 MILLION, 90 PER CENT OF THE PEOPLE WHO DON'T KNOW THEIR NAMESI don't know. The stock price at the time was $12, but it rose to more than 70。

This guy's name is Serena. This year, he's in the middle of an investment ringI don't know。Publicly 35 is only the median 31, only up, 225 times the yieldEven Bloomberg and Reuters are chasing his tweets。

I looked through dozens of his posts and found out that he did something different from the one he did when the public bought Wedda。

WHAT DID THE PUBLIC DO WHEN THEY BOUGHT INVERDA? LOOK AT THE PE, LOOK AT THE GROWTH OF THE MONEY, LOOK AT THE NEWS AND SAY, "AI IS ABOUT TO EXPLODE, LOOK NORTH TO BUY THE MONEY, AND THEN PAY." I CAN DO THIS WITH MY EYES CLOSED。

What did Serena do before he bought $AXTI

HE STARTED WITH NVIDIA'S GPU AND DREW AN INDUSTRIAL CHAIN MAPI DON'T KNOW. TO RUN, GPU REQUIRES A DATA CENTRE, WHICH REQUIRES A LIGHT MODULE FOR DATA TRANSMISSION, THE CORE PARTS OF WHICH ARE LASERS, THE RAW MATERIAL OF WHICH IS CALLED PHOSPHORIDE. AND THEN HE DID SOMETHING THAT I DIDN'T EVEN THINK ABOUT, LOOKING AT THE GLOBAL DISTRIBUTION OF PHOSPHATE。

TWO COMPANIES GLOBALLY CAPABLE OF LARGE-SCALE PHOSPHOROUS SUBSTRATE PRODUCTION. AXTI ACCOUNTS FOR A QUARTER TO A THIRD。

In other wordsAS LONG AS THE AI CHIP CONTINUES TO BE BUILT IN THE FUTURE, ALL LIGHT MODULE PLANTS WILL HAVE TO BUY RAW MATERIALS FROM BOTH。Moreover, this pattern will not change in the short term, as the cycle is measured on an annual basis from plant construction to volume production。

He then went through the company ' s patent documents, customer lists, capacity caps, upstream sources. It's all done。

violet theory

That's what he called itviolet theoryI don't know。

He said you went to a fancy sushi shop, and everyone was staring at the tuna belly。But what the cook can't really cut off is purple sofa。Without the tuna menu, the whole shop could be closed。

In the AI industrial chain, Young Weidar, Microsoft, OpenAI is tuna. Visumiha is an unsatisfied material whose value is billions of dollars without analysts covering itThere are two suppliers around the world, missing the whole chainI don't know。

It's a three-step theory。

Step 1: Start with the top level of demand, one level down

AI, OUTBREAK GPU, SURGE IN DEMAND, GPU, MANUFACTURES NEED A CARVING MACHINE. CHASE, JUST THE FAMILY. GO ON. WHO PAYS FOR THE SPECIAL GLASS FOR CHASE'S GLASSES? MAYBE ANOTHER JAPANESE FACTORY。

The same thing at every level:This floor has to work. What's on the next floor

Most people may see that the second floor is over, and start talking about the price of the British Pe. But Serenity was torn down to the fifth and sixth floors until it caught up with the least marketable and most unknown company。

Step two: Counting the company's connections, there are several players around the world

three more, passDue to full competition, there is no pricing power。

Two, keep an eye on。

One or the other。

The logic is simple。THE MORE AI EXPANDS, THE MORE MONEY GOES UP THE CHAIN. WATER RISES, ALL BOATS RISE。

But if there's only one boat, it doesn't just go up, it can go downstreamI'm the only one who's in charge。

Step three: Before you buy it, send out the analysis and wait for someone to yell

We don't have to identify. We have to go the other wayPeople who know how to fight back。

It was pointed out that one step in his logic was too fast, and he went back and pushed again. When he was told that a supplier had been missing, he went back to make it up. Until all the holes are closed, no one can spray。

He himself saidChatGPT won't refute you. You feed the analysis to AI, it always makes sense. So you have to give something to the real people。

$SIVE: SECOND VALIDATION OF THE SAME METHODOLOGY

He used it more than once。

IN 2025, HE WAS RE-ENGINEERED BY $SIVE, A SWEDISH SEMICONDUCTOR COMPANY, A LASER. WITH A MARKET VALUE OF BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SWEDISH KRONER IS VALUED AND LARGELY NOT COVERED BY UNITED STATES ANALYSTS。

Why is he staring at itBECAUSE THE NEXT GENERATION OF LIGHT COMMUNICATION IN THE DATA CENTRE IS CALLED CPO, CPO, WHICH HAS A HARD WOUND AT THE PHYSICAL LEVEL, AND SILICON CAN'T LIGHT UP. HOW DO YOU PASS THE DATA WITHOUT LIGHT? INDEPENDENT LASER MODULES MUST BE ATTACHED. THE US$SIVE IS A HIGH-POWER SERIAL LASER, WHICH IS THE OUTER LIGHT SOURCE OF CPO。

He went through the chain again:THE NVIDIA GPU DATA CENTRE EXTENSION CPO LIGHT INTERCONNECTION EXPLOSION EXTERNAL LIGHT DEMAND $SIVE IS A SMALL GLOBAL SUPPLY。

After buying it, the ticket rose almost twentyfold。

RPI: NEW DEMAND MISSING ON WALL STREET

And then he sent it to Raspberry Pi in February 2026。

RPI, A BRITISH COMPANY THAT MAKES CHEAP MICROCOMPUTERS, SELLS A TABLET FOR $35 FOR KIDS TO LEARN PROGRAMMING. WALL STREET ANALYSTS UNANIMOUSLY EXPECTED AN INCREASE OF 14 PER CENT IN THE ANNUAL RATE。

He wrote another number:55%。

How does he calculate? He goes to the developer's community. A large number of AI developers on GitHub began deploying AI Agent with Raspberry Pi, and the relevant warehouse growth curve is almost vertical。

He took stock of the procurement discussions in various forums, the growth of developers, and then reversed itThe Wall Street collection model did not include this additional requirement at all, leaving at least 40 percentage points out。

In two days, the tweets were postedRPI STOCK PRICE INCREASED BY ALMOST 90%. TWO MONTHS LATER, THE NEWSPAPER PUBLISHED A 58 PER CENT REAL INCREASE. THE WALL STREET CONSENSUS IS 14%。

THREE CASES, $AXTI, $SIVE, RPIThe bottom logic is exactly the same。

Find a location in the chain where the price is not yet in place but where the demand is locked。

Three of the most common pits in the average family

Speaking here, I would like to talk about the three pits on which stock purchases are most common and what the solution is。

First pit: follow up and fall, always on board

When you see a plate hot, a ticket up, the news says, and then you rush in. And then I went in, and I fell, and I couldn't take it. Cut it up and rise, and that's it。

Why? Because when something's hot enough to be heard by people who don't even study like meIts pricing has long been fully marketed。

The companies on the second floor of the first floor, Young Weeda, Microsoft, power builders, analysts all over the world, money all over the worldWhat makes me think I'm faster than anyone else

Serena's method is to dig downI don't know. Under the third floor, analysts are not covered, institutions are not siloed, and the market value is too small to allow them to enter。The pricing of these places is fraught with loopholes。

This solves a problem: you don't have to fight the world's smart people for speed, you flip over on a track where no one's ever robbed you。

Second pit: buy it, fall, panic

The reason for panic is oneYou don't know how much you buy。

You're probably looking for something to buy. What if you're gonna sell when it looks like you're gonna fallWithout an anchor of your own judgment, the market would just move your mind。

Serena's method is to force you to answer three questions and make a list:Is there no substitute for this? How many suppliers are there around the world? Is downstream demand rising or falling

The three questions were answeredYou have a logical anchor independent of stock prices. PointsI don't know. There is no need to panic when short-term falls, unless the answers to those three questions change。

This solves a problem: it's not about faith, it's about the chain。

The third pit: everyone sees the same information

PE, ROE, FINANCIAL GROWTH, NORTHWARD FINANCE, DRAGON TIGER LIST。You open any stocking software, everyone sees the same interfaceI don't know. This information is fully reflected in the stock price。

What are you looking at? Patent database, supplier directory, customs export data, volume of discussion by developers in industry forums and comparison of technical routes in academic papers。

These things are free and publicBut most of them never opened in their lives。

This solves a problem: when you have a different source of information, you can judge differently。

There's nothing we can do about it

Of course, this approach is not all-powerful and there are a few things that it cannot solve。

I don't knowFirst, Serenity stepped on mine。UPWK-35%, HIMS-50%, CRCL-45%. THE METHOD IS NOT EQUAL TO EVERY ONE. INDUSTRIAL CHAINS ARE PERFECT, COMPANIES RUN IN TROUBLE, THE DIRECTION OF THE INDUSTRY SUDDENLY TURNS, AND MACRO POLICIES CHANGE, AND THEY CAN ALL TURN OVER。

I don't knowSecondly, he's anonymousI don't know. Former AI scientist, Nature author, refused British Wida offer, and these titles were self-proclaimed and unverifiable. He buys mini-stocks, he can pull a plate with one push, and fans can push a wave with one push. When did he sell it, never made it public。

I don't knowAND THIRD, HE'S GOT HIS WHOLE HOLD ON TWO PROGNOSISS, AND THE CPO WILL BE THE ONLY TECHNOLOGY ROUTE FOR THE DATA CENTRE, AND THE HUMAN ROBOT WILL REACH A BILLION LEVELS。When any one of them is overturned, many of his landmark logic collapses。

His way to tell youThis position is stuck in the neckBut the neck itself isn't always there. It needs your own judgment。

What if we take a look at it, Crypto

I tried to look at the Crypto track this way。

Dismantling from the Meme launch platform. Pump.fun, a platform like this. Where does the market deal come from? Go down。

A summary of what this means for you:When you're used to digging down the top, you don't see a thing that goes up。Would you instinctively ask, what floor is it on? Who is it upstream? Who's upstream? ThatThere's only one or two of themWhere

I've been thinking about it for a long time and I've been thinking about it。

Not that I've found a wealth code, but I suddenly realize that every single one of them, whether it's a stock or a coin, is on the first floor of the chain。What the heat buys, all the decision radiuss don't go beyond the trade software page。

So Serenity wasn't just asking you to buy anything, let alone follow him。

What we need to do is another thingPulling you out of the first floor with everyone to show you that the fifth-level pricing has not been discovered by the market。

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