Bitget UEX Daily Trimp will be visiting China at 16 business leaders; a fragile ceasefire in the Middle East; and oil price geo-drive rebound (13/05/2026)
I. Hot spots
Federal Reserve Developments
The Fed has no new policy signals. Markets focus on inflation paths
- NO NEW INTEREST RATE DECISIONS OR STATEMENTS HAVE BEEN ISSUED IN THE RECENT PAST, AND THE FOCUS HAS SHIFTED TO THE FORTHCOMING RELEASE OF CPI DATA FOR APRIL
- Agencies such as Morgan Stanley expect data to be “more explosive”, inflationary pressures or influence interest rate reduction expectations
- Market impact: Uncertainty about the interest rate path continues to support fluctuations between the United States dollar and precious metals and short-term pressure on risk assets。
Major international commodities
Tension in the Middle Eastcrude oilPrice
- Trump claims that the US-Iraq Ceasefire Agreement is “life-support” and Iran rejects the latest offer
- WTI CRUDE OIL INCREASED BY MORE THAN 3 TO 4 PER CENT PER DAY, AND BRENT WENT UP AT THE SAME TIME
- Market impact: rising energy prices exacerbate inflationary concerns while boosting energy plates, but may discourage global growth expectations。
Macroeconomic policy
Trump rate of 16 business leaders visiting China, SpaceX and Google passing out orbital data for negotiation
- Sixteen United States business leaders will travel to China with Trump, and the market will be interpreted as a sign of easing trade tensions between China and the United States
- There are also reports that SpaceX is working with Google on orbital data
- Market impacts: High-level interaction between China and the United States is expected to boost risk preferences, technology and exports-related plates or short-term benefits。
Market revisiting
large commodities & foreign exchange performance
- CashGold+0.02% for $4,700/ounce。
- CashSilver+0.72% for $87/ounce。
- WTI CRUDE OIL: -0.85 per cent, USD 97 per barrel。
- Brent crude oil: -0.89 per cent, USD 107/barrel。
- United States dollar index: Small fluctuations to 98.31, generally stable and reflective of the outlook for inflation data。
Encryption Currency Performance
- BTC: -1.16 per cent at a current price of approximately US$ 80,700, which, after short-term shocks, is set at the full $80,000 threshold。
- ETH: -2.26 per cent at current prices of approximately $2,288。
- Total market value of encrypted currencyApproximately $2.7 trillion, or 1.2 per cent。
- Market warehouse situation: $278 MILLION FOR A TOTAL OF 24H AND $230 MILLION FOR A SINGLE EXPLOSIVE。
- BitgetBTCI'm sorryUSDTLiquidation maps:BTCThe current price is around 80690, with a large number of high-leveraging single-deposit locations over the 8200-82600 zone, which, if kept up, could trigger a chain to empty and magnify upward fluctuations. There is an intensive multi-single clearing area along 79,300-79800, and if it falls, there may be a rapid multi-heading and retreat。
- NET INCOMING/OUTWARD SPOT ETF:BTCTHE CURRENT ETF NET OUTFLOW YESTERDAY, MAY 11, WAS ABOUT $115 MILLIONETHTHE SPOT ETF IS A NET OUTFLOW OF 40 MILLION EUROS OVER THE SAME PERIOD。
- BTCInflow/exit: YesterdayBTCNet outflows were $119 million and contracts $1,597 million。
United States equity index performance
- Finger(b) A slight increase of 0.11 per cent and the receipt of 49,760.56 points, with a steady trend。
- Pistol 500• Declining by 0.16 per cent, reporting at 7,400.96 points, with a narrow shock being suppressed by expected inflation data。
- Nut finger• Declining by 0.71 per cent and reporting at 26,088.20 points, with a significant technical backlog。
Technology giant dynamics
-
Apple (AAPL): Increase of 0.72 per cent, reporting $294.80。
-
Microsoft (MSFT): 1.18 per cent drop, US$ 407.77。
-
NVIDIA (NVDA): INCREASE OF 0.61 PER CENT, USD 220.78。
-
Amazon (AMZN): 1.18 per cent drop, $265.82。
-
Alphabet (GOOGL): Decreased by 0.33 per cent and reported $387.35。
-
Meta (META): Increase of 0.69 per cent and statement of $603.00。
-
Tesla (TSLA): Decrease of 2.60 per cent, US$ 433.45。
CORE REASONS: HIGH-LEVEL INTERACTION BETWEEN CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES IS EXPECTED TO BE INTERTWINED WITH GEO-RISKS IN THE MIDDLE EAST, THE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY UNIT IS SHIFTING MARKEDLY, THE AI THEME PROVIDES STRUCTURAL SUPPORT, AND SOME UNITS ARE BURDENED BY OVERALL ADJUSTMENTS。
CORE REASONS: HIGH-LEVEL INTERACTION BETWEEN CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES IS EXPECTED TO BE INTERTWINED WITH GEO-RISKS IN THE MIDDLE EAST, THE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY UNIT AS A WHOLE UNDER PRESSURE BUT PARTLY BENEFITING FROM TRADE ABATING RUMOURS, AND THE SEPARATION OF AI FROM ELECTRIC VEHICLES IS EVIDENT。
Plank Instant Observation
Energy BlockOver 3%
- Representation of units:Exxon MobilXOMChevron ()CVXEnergy giants such as ConocoPhillips (COP) are generally strong, with oil services and drilling units performing well。
- DriversTHE MIDDLE EAST CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT REMAINS FRAGILE, IRAN'S RELATED TENSIONS PUSHED UP CRUDE OIL PRICES (AN INCREASE OF OVER 3 PER CENT AT ONE TIME) AND THE ENERGY PLATES DIRECTLY BENEFITED FROM A GEO-PRIME PREMIUM, WITH SHORT-TERM INFLATION EXPECTED TO FURTHER SUPPORT THE PLATE HEAT。
China Concept UnitSignificant variation
- Representation of units: Partly summarized as Boeing (BAI'm sorryNVIDIAI'm sorryNVDAI'm sorryAppleI'm sorryAAPLThe relevant supply chain units are active, and some of China ' s science, technology and consumption concepts units are following back。
- Drivers: Trump led a visit to China, where the market was interpreted as a signal of potential easing of trade relations between China and the United States, accompanied by business leaders, boosting market expectations for exports, scientific and technological cooperation and supply chain stability。
III. In-depth interpretation of United States shares
Tesla (TSLA) - 2.60% today
SUMMARY OF THE EVENT: THE TSLA STOCK PRICE HAS DROPPED BY 2.60 PER CENT TODAY, REPORTING $433.45. IN THE CONTEXT OF THE ANTICIPATED HIGH-LEVEL INTERACTION BETWEEN CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES, IT IS STILL SUBJECT TO OVERALL TECHNOLOGICAL ADJUSTMENTS AND GEO-RISKS IN THE MIDDLE EAST, AND THE PACE OF THE DELIVERY OF ELECTRIC VEHICLES AND THE PROGRESS OF AUTOMATIC DRIVING ARE THE FOCUS OF THE MARKET。
Market interpretation: It is generally accepted that short-term fluctuations are normal digestion, and that a longer-term look at the increased penetration of the Chinese market and the potential supply chain benefits of Trump’s visit to China will support Tesla’s global configuration。
Investment Revelations: Recall offers strategic allocation opportunities, focusing on the real impact of trade easing between China and the United States on Shanghai factories and exports。
2. NVIDIA (NVDA) - A SLIGHT INCREASE OF 0.61 PER CENT TO MAINTAIN STRENGTH
SUMMARY OF THE EVENT: THE VALUE OF THE NVDA STOCK ROSE BY 0.61 PER CENT TODAY, REPORTING $220.78, AND THE DEMAND FOR THE AI CHIP CONTINUED TO BE STRONG, BUT GEO-RISK AND INFLATION DATA WERE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SOMEWHAT DEPRESSED AND CONSTRICTED。
MARKET INTERPRETATION: WALL STREET ANALYST NOTES THAT THE AI CAPITAL EXPENDITURE CYCLE IS NOT AT ITS PEAK, THAT THE LONG-TERM GROWTH LOGIC OF NVIDIA AS A CORE SUPPLIER IS SOLID, AND THAT SHORT-TERM ADJUSTMENTS DO NOT CHANGE INSTITUTIONAL EXPECTATIONS。
INVESTMENT REVELATIONS: THE AI THEME REMAINS THE MAIN MARKET LINE, SUGGESTING THAT FOCUS BE ON SILOS AT CRITICAL SUPPORT LEVELS AND VALUATIONS RETURN TO A REASONABLE RANGE。
Meta Platforms (META) - Strong increase of 0.69%
SUMMARY OF THE EVENT: META STOCK PRICE INCREASED BY 0.69 PER CENT TODAY, REPORTING $603.00, ADVERTISING SERVICE RESILIENCE AND AI APPLICATION EXPECTED TO DRIVE THE STOCK PRICE TO A LARGE SCALE, AND TECHNOLOGY MEGA-DIVISION PATTERNS HIGHLIGHTED。
Market interpretation: The agency emphasized that Meta ' s AI input in the social and meta-cosm area is entering the harvest and that profitability is expected to become an important catalyst for equity prices。
Investment revelation: the defensive growth attributes are prominent and fit to hold the core of the technology block in market fluctuations。
4. Apple (AAPL) - 0.72% increase in robust performance
Summary of the incident: AAPL stock price rose by 0.72 per cent today, reporting $294.80, supported by iPhone sales and AI service operations, and Sino-American interactions are expected to further boost supply chain confidence。
Market Interpretation: According to analysts, Apple has completed key cards in the AI ecological layout and the high Māori characteristics of service operations will buffer hardware cycle fluctuations。
Investment Revelations: The defensive properties are strong and suitable for use as a combination ballast in an uncertain environment。
5. Amazon (AMZN) - 1.18 per cent drop in minor adjustments
SUMMARY OF EVENTS: AMZN STOCK PRICES FELL BY 1.18 PER CENT TODAY AND REPORTED $265.82. CLOUD COMPUTING AND ELECTRICITY COMPANY OPERATIONS WERE GENERALLY SOUND, INFLUENCED BY THE GENERAL MARKET VIEWING MOOD, BUT SHORT-TERM INFLATION DATA WERE EXPECTED TO STIFLE THE EXPANSION OF VALUATION。
MARKET INTERPRETATION: INSTITUTIONS REMAIN OPTIMISTIC, AWS GROWTH MOMENTUM AND AI INFRASTRUCTURE DEMAND ARE SEEN AS CORE LONG-TERM DRIVERS AND ARE NOW BEING ADJUSTED TO HEALTHY DIGESTION。
INVESTMENT REVELATIONS: FOCUS ON THE AWS QUARTERLY GUIDELINES, WHICH COULD BE RETROFITTED IN BATCHES, WITH THE LONG-TERM COMPOSITE GROWTH OUTLOOK UNCHANGED。
IV. Developments in encryption money projects
Wintermute: Bitcoin is vulnerable to weak spot demand, short-term or inverted. According to the report, the breakthrough of $80,000 in bitcoin was driven mainly by empty futures markets rather than by spot demand. Over the past month, the outstanding futures contract in bitcoin has increased by some $10 billion to $58 billion, but the volume of spot transactions has fallen to a two-year low. When Bitcoin exceeded $70,000, a large amount of empty space was forced to flatten, prompting a surge in purchases and higher prices。
2. Benchmark reiterated its buy-in rating on its shares and raised the target price from $260 to $270, despite the poor financial performance of Coinbase in the first quarter. According to Benchmark analysts, Coinbase is transitioning from a market-dependent encrypted exchange to a core infrastructure provider of a “chain-based economy” with a strategy increasingly centred on trust, trusteeship, liquidity and compliance。
Three, according to The BlockBitcoinThe market share has risen from a low of 55 per cent to about 58.5 per cent. The indicator has historically been a winding sign of the rotation of funds in the encrypted market: the increase in market share is usually associated with the overall phase of bitcoin winnings, and the decline tends to signal the onset of the season。
4. According to the documents submitted on Tuesday, Morgan Chase is launching the second monetized money market fund, which is intended to satisfyGENIUSThe reserve asset requirements of the issuer are stabilized under the Act. The fund, called OnChain Liquidity-Token Money Market Fund, code JLTXX, will be monetized along the Taifung block chain and will be invested in United States Treasury bonds and overnight buy-back agreements secured by national bonds or cash。
According to James Seyffart, 21 SharesHyperliquidETF'S FIRST TRANSACTION, WITH AN AMOUNT OF $1.8 MILLION, WAS A “VERY ROBUST” FIRST DAY PERFORMANCE, BETTER THAN THE REGULAR ETF DISTRIBUTION, BUT NOT SURPRISINGLY。
Six, Tony Strategy had a net loss of about $91 million in the first quarterToncoinFair value has declined significantly. The company held approximately 221.9 million in the first quarter of 2026Toncoin($TON), OF WHICH APPROXIMATELY 221.2 MILLION WERE PLEDGEDToncoinThe total is about 4.29 per cent, the net pledge is about 26.18 per cent and the fair value at the end of the period is about $272 million。
V. Today ' s market calendar
Data release schedules
| 2030 | United States | APRIL CPI DATA | Zenium |
The big news
- US PPI DATA AT 2030 (UTC+8) RELEASED IN APRIL
- Alibaba, United StatesBABA(c) The publication of financial statements in advanceCSCORELEASE OF Q1 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
- TRUMP MAY HAVE VISITED CHINA ON MAY 14-15; THE US GOVERNMENT HAS INVITED CEOS LIKE INWEIDA, APPLE, EXXONMOBIL, BOEING, ETC ★★★★★
- U.S.U. applications (US$)AMAT(c) Cérebras Systems is expected to land in NASDAQ
- The Chairman of the Federal Reserve of Powell officially ended his term and Walsh is expected to take over
- THE AGENCY'S 13F HOLDOUT FILING DEADLINE WILL ALLOW FOR THE DISCLOSURE OF THE LATEST UNITED STATES STOCKHOLDINGS IN BIRKHEL AND DINH DIVISION。
Institutional perspective:
Prominent investment bank analysts are generally of the view that the market is currently in a double period of diplomatic and geographical risk in the Middle East. Trump’s visit to China was seen as a potential trade mitigation signal, with the prospect of boosting risk assets and technology segments, but more than expected CPI data in April would reinforce the need for the Fed to maintain high interest rates, thereby stifling valuation expansion. Crude oil prices have been strengthened by the fragility of the ceasefire, further pushing inflation expectations, and the gold and silver are still being supported as a hedge asset. Encryption markets remain resilient in the context of continued ETF inflows, but leveraging risks requires vigilance. On the whole, short-term fluctuations have increased, suggesting that investors focus on data drops and diplomatic advances, with a balanced defence (precious metals, energy) and growth (AI, technology) plate, waiting for more clear catalysts。
DISCLAIMER: THE ABOVE IS COLLATED BY AI, MANUALLY ISSUED ONLY FOR VALIDATION AND IS NOT RECOMMENDED FOR INVESTMENT. FOR UNAVOIDABLE DEVIATIONS IN THE TEXT, PLEASE REFER TO MARKET INSTANTANEOUS DATA。
