Encryption Market Performance

Today, the total market value of encrypted money is $3.13 trillionBTC58.7 per cent, $183 trillion. The market value of the stable currency was $30.9 billion, an increase of 0.49 per cent in the last seven days, and the stable currency has been growing for three weeks, of whichUSDTThis represents 60.21 per cent。

CoinMarketCapMost of the first 200 projects have seen a slight increase, including:BTCTHE DECLINE WAS 0.14 PER CENT ON 7 DAYS, ETH 7 BY 2.34 PER CENT, SOL 7 BY 1.52 PER CENT, M 7 BY 25.79 PER CENT AND ZEC 7 BY 16.26 PER CENT。

This week, AmericaBitcoinNET INFLOWS OF SPOT ETF: $286.2 MILLION; UNITED STATESEtherwoodNET FACT INFLOWS: $209 MILLION。

Market projections(15-21 December):

THE RSI INDEX CURRENTLY STANDS AT 46.17 (NEUTRAL) AND THE FEAR OF GREED INDEX AT 28 (HIGHER THAN LAST WEEK, GENERAL FEAR ZONE) AND THE MOUNTAIN SEASON INDEX AT 35 (NEUTRAL, SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN LAST WEEK)。

It was observed that the Federal Reserve’s announcement of interest-rate cuts on 11 December, with the exception of gold, had been tempered by the fact that it had not been the sole reason, but rather by the fact that the market had fully priced the 25 basis points before the conference, which had led to a profit-making outcome, and that Powell’s speech was biased against the eagles, coupled with macro-uncertainty leading to risk-based asset pressures, such as encrypted currency. Next week, the encrypted currency will still hold the interstate shock。

BTCCore: $86,000-94,200

ETHCore: $3,100-3,400

SOLCore: $125,145

 

FOR SHORT-TERM TRADERS: IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT THE ABOVE-MENTIONED KEY RESISTANCE POSITIONS (E.G., BTC $94,200, ETH $3,400, SOL $140) NOT BE FOLLOWED UP, AWAITING A CLEAR PRICE BREAKTHROUGH OR BACKTRACKING, AND THAT LIGHT SILOS BE TESTED NEAR KEY SUPPORT POSITIONS (E.G., BTC $86,000, ETH $3,190, SOL $125). MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A NARROW CUT。

 

FOR MEDIUM-TERM BAND TRADERS: REDUCE THE FREQUENCY OF TRANSACTIONS AND WAIT PATIENTLY FOR PRICES TO GET OUT OF THE CURRENT “DECEMBER OPENING”. CONSIDERATION COULD BE GIVEN TO THE IDEA OF A “SPLIT LAYOUT” WHEREBY A SMALL SUBSILO IS SET UP IN THE STRONG-SUPPORT AREA (E.G. US$ 120-130 FOR SOL) AS A STOP OR WATCH SIGN. AT THE SAME TIME, CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE SUSTAINABILITY OF UNITED STATES ETF FLOWS WILL BE AN IMPORTANT INDICATOR OF MARKET SENTIMENT。

I understand now

Looking back at the big event of the week

1. On 7 December, Matt Huaang, co-founder of the Encrypted Investment Agency Paradigm, wrote in social media that "I don ' t know who needs to hear this, but this is the "Netscape moment" or "iPhone moment" of encrypted currency. It is operating on an unprecedented scale, larger than we could have imagined, at both the institutional and cypherpunk levels, accelerating development;”

2. ON 10 DECEMBER, THE CLARITY BILL IS EXPECTED TO BE PUBLISHED THIS WEEK, WITH HEARINGS AND VOTING NEXT WEEK

3. On 10 December, according to Bloomberg, SpaceX was expected to carry out an IPO in the late part of 2026, valued at approximately $1.5 trillion, raising funds well above $30 billion and hopefully the largest IPO in history. Specific timing plans will depend on market conditions

4. On 9 December, as the end of the year approached, Wall Street Bank stood ready to respond to rising pressure on the currency market, which the analyst said could prompt the Fed to weigh measures to re-establish a liquidity buffer in a market of $12.6 trillion

5. On 10 December, according to Decrypt, the Chairman of the SEC, Paul Atkins, at the annual policy summit of the Block Chain Association, stated that various types of ICO should be considered non-securities transactions and therefore not covered by SEC regulation

6. On 12 December, the Federal Court of the Southern District of New York announced on Thursday that the founder of Terraform Labs, Do Kwon, had been sentenced to 15 years ' imprisonment for acts such as fraud in the Terra and Luna currency crashes。

Macroeconomics

1. On 11 December, the Federal Reserve revised the base rate downwards by 25 basis points to 3.5 per cent - 3.75 per cent, for the third consecutive meeting, which met market expectations and had accumulated 75 basis points during the year

2. On 11 December, the number of unemployed persons in the United States by the beginning of the week of 6 December, 236,000, was high since the week of 6 September 2025. This figure is higher than expected, at 191,000

3. On 12 December, according to the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Monitor, the probability of a 25 basis point reduction in January was 24.8 per cent。

ETF

According to statistics, between 8 December and 12 DecemberUS BITCOIN NET ETFINWARDS: $286.2 MILLION; AS AT 12 DECEMBER, A TOTAL OF $25.39 MILLION HAD BEEN EXPORTED FROM THE GBT (ASHSCALE), WITH $15.61 BILLION CURRENTLY HELD AND $70.93 BILLION CURRENTLY HELD BY IBIT (BELET). THE TOTAL MARKET VALUE OF THE SPOT ETF IN BITCOIN IN THE UNITED STATES WAS $120.7 BILLION。

U.S. ETHERPORT NET ETFInput: $209 million。

Seeing the future

Project progress

1. Yala indicates that all original BTCs under the institutional model will be withdrawn from the Yala agreement and that the full redemption plan and timetable will be published on 15 December

The second-season air-drop application window will be closed on 19 December

PayPal presented a Bitcoin lottery to United States users with a deadline of 21 December。

Significant events

1. On 16 December, at 21:30, the United States will announce the non-farm employed population (in thousands) after the November season

2. On 18 December, at 2000 hours, the United Kingdom will publish the Central Bank ' s interest rate decision until 18 December

3. On 18 December 21.15, the Eurozone will announce the ECB Deposit Mechanism interest rate until 18 December

4. ON 18 DECEMBER, AT 21:30, THE UNITED STATES WILL DISCLOSE THE UNSEASONED CPI ANNUAL RATE IN NOVEMBER AND THE NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED PERSONS (IN THOUSANDS) WHO WILL RECEIVE UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK OF 13 DECEMBER

5. 19 DECEMBER AT 2300, UNITED STATES CORE PCE PRICE INDEX ANNUAL RATE FOR NOVEMBER。

Currency Unlock

Connex (CONX) will unlock 1.32 million tokens on 15 December, valued at approximately $21.35 million, or 1.61 per cent of circulation

2. Starknet (STRK) will unlock 127 million tokens on 15 December, valued at approximately $14.15 million, or 5.07 per cent of circulation

3. Arbitrum (ARB) will unlock 9.265 million tokens on 16 December, valued at approximately $18.98 million, or 1.9 per cent of circulation;

ZKsync (ZK) will unlock 173 million tokens on 17 December, valued at approximately $5.64 million, or 3.26 per cent of circulation

5. Melania Meme (MELANIA) will unlock 2,625,000 tokens on 18 December, valued at approximately $2.93 million, or 4.79 per cent of circulation。

About us

Hotcoin ResearchAs Hotcoin ExchangeThe core research institute, dedicated to transforming professional analysis into your operational tool. We've analyzed the market for you through the Weekly Insight and the Insight, and we've identified potential assets and reduced trial error costs through the exclusive " Hot Currency Selecting " (AI+ Dual Screening by Experts). Every week, our researchers will also meet you face-to-face, reading hot spots, predicting trends. We believe that warm company and professional guidance can help more investors cross the cycle and take advantage of the value opportunities of Web3。

Risk tip

The encrypted currency market is more volatile and investments carry risks themselves. We strongly recommend that investors invest in strict risk management frameworks based on a full understanding of these risks to ensure financial security。